Policy scenarios for climate protection XII
Client:Federal Environment Agency
Duration August 2024- Juli 2027
Background
In the context of international, European and national climate protection policy, it is necessary to quantify the future development of greenhouse gas emissions and the effects of current and future political support instruments at regular intervals. These projections can be used to evaluate the elements of an ambitious climate policy that enable the development of a sustainable economic and energy system in line with climate policy requirements. In addition to meeting European requirements, this projection report serves to provide a reliable data and discussion basis for national energy and climate policy. In this project, IREES models policy scenarios for climate protection in the context of the German government’s Climate Protection Act. The project builds on the policy scenarios for climate protection XI and develops them further.
Goals and Results
Sector-specific energy system models are used to examine the development of greenhouse gas emissions in Germany up to 2035 under different energy and climate policy regimes. In the MMS – with-measures scenario – the effect of existing energy and climate policy, including the resolutions of the Climate Action Program 2030, is examined. In MWMS, the impact of a more ambitious climate protection policy is examined. The study includes the development of greenhouse gas emissions in the building sector, industry, agriculture, the transport sector and the energy sector. The development of greenhouse gas emissions from land use, land use change and forestry (LULUCF) is also taken into account.
